Everolimus, tablets, 5 mg and 10 mg, Afinitor® - November 2011
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Public Summary Document
Product:  Everolimus, tablets, 5 mg and 10 mg,
                           Afinitor®
Sponsor: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Australia Pty
                           Ltd
Date of PBAC Consideration: November 2011
1. Purpose of Application
                           To seek an Authority Required listing for initial and continuing
                           treatment of Stage IV clear cell variant renal cell carcinoma in a
                           patient with a WHO status of 2 or less, who has failed treatment
                           with sunitinib.
2. Background
                           This was the fourth submission for everolimus requesting listing
                           for clear cell renal carcinoma.
                           At the November 2009 meeting, the PBAC rejected a submission for
                           everolimus for treatment, as the sole PBS-subsidised therapy, of a
                           patient with Stage IV clear cell variant renal cell carcinoma after
                           failure of treatment with sorafenib or sunitinib on the basis of
                           uncertain clinical benefit and a high and uncertain
                           cost-effectiveness ratio.
For full details, see November 2009 Public Summary
                              Document.
                           At its July 2010 meeting, the PBAC rejected a re-submission on the
                           basis of uncertain clinical benefit and a high and uncertain
                           cost-effectiveness ratio.
For full details, see July 2010 Public Summary
                              Document.
                           At the November 2010 meeting, the PBAC rejected a minor
                           re-submission on the basis of a high and uncertain
                           cost-effectiveness ratio. The PBAC considered that despite the
                           clinical need and trial-based evidence of improved PFS, the
                           magnitude of the clinical benefit in relation to survival was
                           uncertain and that with plausible survival modelling, the ICER
                           remained unacceptably high.
3. Registration Status
                           Everolimus tablets 5 mg and 10 mg were registered by the TGA on 29
                           July 2009 for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell
                           carcinoma after failure of treatment with sorafenib or
                           sunitinib.
4. Listing Requested and PBAC’s View
Authority Required
                           Initial treatment, as the sole PBS-subsidised therapy, of Stage IV
                           clear cell variant renal cell carcinoma (RCC) in a patient who has
                           failed treatment with sunitinib and has a WHO status of 2 or
                           less.
                           Failure of treatment with sunitinib is defined as:
(i) Progressive disease as defined by the RECIST criteria;
                           or
(ii) Toxicity that is sunitinib related and necessitates
                           permanent cessation of sunitinib. 
NOTES:
                           Everolimus should not be used after disease progression on
                           temsirolimus.
                           RECIST criteria are defined as follows:
                           Complete response (CR) is disappearance of all target
                           lesions.
                           Partial response (PR) is a 30% decrease in the sum of the longest
                           diameter of target lesions.
                           Progressive disease (PD) is a 20% increase in the sum of the
                           longest diameter of target lesions.
                           Stable disease (SD) is small changes that do not meet above
                           criteria.
                           No applications for increased maximum quantities and/or repeats
                           will be authorised.
Authority Required
                           Continuing treatment beyond 3 months, as the sole PBS-subsidised
                           therapy, of Stage IV clear cell variant renal cell carcinoma (RCC)
                           in a patient who has previously been issued with an authority
                           prescription for everolimus and who has stable or responding
                           disease according to the RECIST criteria.
NOTES:
                           Everolimus should not be used after disease progression on
                           temsirolimus.
                           RECIST criteria are defined as follows:
                           Complete response (CR) is disappearance of all target
                           lesions.
                           Partial response (PR) is a 30% decrease in the sum of the longest
                           diameter of target lesions.
                           Progressive disease (PD) is a 20% increase in the sum of the
                           longest diameter of target lesions.
                           Stable disease (SD) is small changes that do not meet above
                           criteria.
                           No applications for increased maximum quantities and/or repeats
                           will be authorised.
Authority Required (grandfather)
                           Initial treatment, as the sole PBS-subsidised therapy, of Stage IV
                           clear cell variant renal cell carcinoma (RCC) after failure of
                           treatment with sunitinib in a patient who was receiving treatment
                           with everolimus prior to (insert LISTING DATE).
                           Failure of treatment with sunitinib is defined as:
(i) Progressive disease as defined by the RECIST criteria;
                           or
(ii) Toxicity that is sunitinib related and necessitates
                           permanent cessation of sunitinib.
NOTES:
                           Everolimus should not be used after disease progression on
                           temsirolimus.
                           RECIST criteria are defined as follows:
                           Complete response (CR) is disappearance of all target
                           lesions.
                           Partial response (PR) is a 30% decrease in the sum of the longest
                           diameter of target lesions.
                           Progressive disease (PD) is a 20% increase in the sum of the
                           longest diameter of target lesions.
                           Stable disease (SD) is small changes that do not meet above
                           criteria.
                           No applications for increased maximum quantities and/or repeats
                           will be authorised.
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
5. Clinical Place for the Proposed Therapy
                           Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is a form of kidney cancer that arises
                           from the cells of the renal tubule. The management and prognosis of
                           a patient with RCC is determined by the stage of the disease.
                           Surgery is the only curative treatment option for localised RCC
                           – radical nephrectomy is considered the gold-standard
                           treatment for all patients with localised tumours. In patients with
                           locally advanced or metastatic disease, nephrectomy may also be
                           considered. As RCC progresses, the tumour grows and enlarges, and
                           often spreads to adjacent organs. However, most patients are
                           diagnosed with advanced RCC which is often refractory to treatment
                           and associated with a poor prognosis.
                           Currently, only sunitinib is PBS listed for this indication. The
                           submission proposed that everolimus would be a new treatment option
                           for patients with advanced RCC who have failed sunitinib.
6. Comparator
                           Best supportive care (BSC) was nominated as the comparator. This
                           was previously considered appropriate by the PBAC.
7. Clinical Trials
                           No changes had been made to the trial data previously presented
                           from the RECORD-1 trial, a randomised trial comparing everolimus,
                           10 mg per day orally, with placebo in patients with metastatic
                           clear cell carcinoma (mRCC) with Karnofsky performance score of at
                           least 70 and previous progression on, or within six months of
                           treatment with, sunitinib and/or sorafenib. The primary clinical
                           outcome was progression-free survival (PFS), and patients in the
                           placebo arm could cross-over to everolimus after progression.
                           One additional publication (Motzer et al 2010) arising from the
                           RECORD-1 trial was identified in an updated literature search, see
                           below:
                           
                        
| Trial ID/ First author | Protocol title/ Publication title | Publication citation | 
|---|---|---|
| Direct randomised trial(s) | ||
| RECORD-1 | ||
| Motzer R et al. | Phase 3 trial of everolimus for metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Final results and analysis of prognostic factors. | Cancer 2010; 116 (18):4256-4265. | 
8. Results of Trials
                           The PBAC recalled that everolimus demonstrated a statistically
                           significant improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) (HR:
                           0.33, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.43) compared with placebo but the extent of
                           the benefit, three months, was small. The overall survival (OS)
                           data for the intention-to-treat population demonstrated no
                           statistically significant difference for everolimus compared with
                           placebo, with a hazard ratio 0.87 (95% CI: 0.65-1.17). As
                           previously noted, this result was biased towards no treatment
                           effect because the RCT was designed to allow for switching to
                           everolimus on progression. That is, the result for OS is confounded
                           by the extensive (77%) cross-over of placebo patients to everolimus
                           at progression. 
                           The PBAC also noted that the RECORD-1 trial did not demonstrate a
                           statistically significant benefit for everolimus compared with
                           placebo in terms of other secondary outcomes, including quality of
                           life. However, these results are also confounded by the extensive
                           (77%) cross-over of placebo patients to everolimus at
                           progression.
                           No new toxicity data were presented in the re-submission and the
                           safety assessment of the RECORD-1 trial had not been updated.
9. Clinical Claim
                           The re-submission claimed everolimus has superior efficacy and
                           inferior safety in mRCC compared with placebo.
                           The PBAC considered that the main uncertainty was whether there is
                           a survival gain associated with treatment with everolimus and if
                           so, the magnitude of the gain. The PBAC noted that the clinical
                           importance of the PFS gain had not been demonstrated in terms of
                           improvements in the symptoms of RCC.
                           The PBAC had previously considered that the re-submission’s
                           claim of inferior safety of everolimus compared with placebo was
                           reasonable.
10. Economic Analysis
                           An updated modelled economic evaluation was presented.
                           The submission presented additional UK historical control survival
                           data and a revised extrapolation method to derive overall survival
                           curves for the placebo arm to be used in the modelled economic
                           evaluation.
                           The base case ICER (time horizon 5 years) using the Rank Preserving
                           Structural Failure Time method (RPSFT) was calculated to be between
                           $45,000 - $75,000 per QALY.
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
11. Estimated PBS Usage and Financial Implications
                           The likely number of patients treated was estimated by the
                           submission to be less than 10,000 over the first 5 years. The
                           estimation was considered uncertain due to uncertainty in the
                           projected sunitinib patient numbers and uncertainty in the
                           proportion of sunitinib patients eligible for everolimus.
                           The net financial cost to the PBS was estimated by the submission
                           to be less than $10 million in Year 5. The estimation was
                           considered uncertain.
12. Recommendation and Reasons
                           The PBAC noted it had previously accepted that BSC was the
                           appropriate comparator. The PBAC recalled that in July 2010 there
                           was uncertainty about a conclusion of superior efficacy in mRCC
                           with everolimus compared with placebo based on the benefit in terms
                           of PFS, when no benefit in terms of OS or quality of life was
                           observed in RECORD-1. Based on the supporting data the claim for
                           inferior safety was considered reasonable. 
                           The PBAC noted there were no new trial data provided in the
                           re-submission. However, the submission presented additional UK
                           historical control survival data and a revised extrapolation method
                           to derive overall survival curves for the placebo arm to be used in
                           the modelled economic evaluation. The results of this survival
                           analysis were compared with community-based survival data sourced
                           from Medicare on sunitinib patients, to further validate the UK
                           data’s applicability to the Australian population. There was
                           also an update (in the manuscript form) of the systemic review by
                           Delea et al to estimate the ratio of incremental OS benefit to
                           incremental PFS.
                           The PBAC noted that the sunitinib data show survival appears worse
                           in the community than in the trial (Motzer et al 2010),
                           highlighting that trial results may overestimate the benefit of
                           therapy. The PBAC considered that these additional data had
                           increased rather than decreased the uncertainty regarding survival
                           by indicating that the time horizon of 5 years may be too
                           optimistic.
                           The PBAC also noted that the study population for everolimus is a
                           combination of failed TKIs (sunitinib) and patients who have never
                           been exposed to an effective TKI (sorafenib). The PBAC has
                           previously noted that sorafenib has failed to show any benefit as a
                           first line agent in RCC, and hence this may have influenced the
                           benefit observed for everolimus.
                           The base case ICER (time horizon 5 years) using the RPSFT was
                           calculated to be between $45,000 - $75,000 per QALY in the current
                           re-submission.
                           The PBAC noted the results of the sensitivity analyses indicate
                           that the model is most sensitive to the model duration due to the
                           relatively large proportion of the QALY gain extrapolated to occur
                           beyond the duration of the trial. The PBAC noted that in
                           calculating the ICERs there is an assumption that treatment would
                           be ceased on progression, which may not happen in clinical practice
                           as everolimus is administered orally. Also, clinicians may not
                           routinely monitor patients with scans to detect progression at this
                           stage of the disease. Therefore, the PBAC considered that the ICERs
                           could potentially be higher.
                           The PBAC accepted that there is a high clinical need for
                           alternative therapies for renal cancer. However, the main
                           uncertainty for the PBAC is whether there is a survival gain
                           associated with this drug and if so, the magnitude of the gain. The
                           PBAC noted that the clinical importance of the PFS gain has not
                           been demonstrated in terms of improvements in the symptoms of
                           RCC.
                           Therefore, the PBAC rejected the submission on the basis of a high
                           and uncertain cost-effectiveness ratio.
                           The PBAC acknowledged and noted the consumer comments on this
                           item.
Recommendation:
Reject
13. Context for Decision
                           The PBAC helps decide whether and, if so, how medicines should be
                           subsidised in Australia. It considers submissions in this context.
                           A PBAC decision not to recommend listing or not to recommend
                           changing a listing does not represent a final PBAC view about the
                           merits of the medicine. A company can resubmit to the PBAC or seek
                           independent review of the PBAC decision.
14. Sponsor’s Comment
                           The sponsor has no comment.




